Prediction Markets in 2026: The State of the Industry
From $73 million in 2023 to over $44 billion combined in 2025, prediction markets have become a permanent part of the financial information landscape.
Dec 14, 2025
NO. 07/BLOG/198 POSTS/UPDATED DAILY
Insights & Updates
Market analysis, product updates, and trading strategies from the Blockcircle team.
03 — INDEX
The archive.
198 posts total
Newest first.
Newest first.
Building Your Prediction Market Trading Plan From Scratch
A trading plan defines what, how, and how much you trade before you place a single position. It transforms trading from ad hoc decisions into a repeatable...
Feb 6, 2026
How Real-Time Data Processing Creates Prediction Market Trading Advantages
The speed at which you process new information determines whether you capture or miss short-lived prediction market opportunities.
Apr 1, 2026
A Plain-Language Guide to Prediction Market Terminology
Prediction markets use specific terms that can confuse newcomers. This guide explains each term in plain language with practical context.
Jan 25, 2026
The MTE for Crypto vs Stocks: Key Differences in Application
The Momentum Trading Engine applies the same principles to crypto and stocks, but optimal parameters differ significantly between the two asset classes.
May 2, 2026
How Sentiment Shifts Before Major Prediction Market Price Moves
Sentiment across news, social media, and expert commentary often shifts direction before prediction market prices adjust.
Jan 5, 2026
How Mining Economics Create a Price Floor for Bitcoin
Mining costs create a soft floor under Bitcoin's price. When price falls below cost of production, marginal miners shut down, reducing selling pressure.
Dec 21, 2025
How to Analyze Prediction Market Contracts Before Expiration
As contracts approach resolution, the analytical framework shifts from probability assessment to resolution mechanics.
Dec 26, 2025
The Expanding Universe of Tradeable Predictions and What It Means
From politics to sports to science to entertainment, the range of events you can trade predictions on keeps growing. This expansion creates new analytical...
Feb 10, 2026
How the Whale Finder Identifies the Top-Performing Traders Across Prediction Markets
The Whale Finder does not just track large wallets. It classifies them, filters by track record, detects clusters of independent agreement, and surfaces...
Mar 26, 2026
Why Tracking Resolved Prediction Market Outcomes Improves Future Analysis
Every resolved prediction market contract is a data point about your analytical accuracy. Systematically tracking these outcomes builds a feedback loop...
Dec 11, 2025