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Macroeconomic Risk ScorecardMRS
Seven recession probability models scored against 50+ macro indicators across multiple countries
Seven recession probability models scored against 50+ macro indicators across multiple countries
Live macroeconomic risk analysis powered by Federal Reserve (FRED) data. Monitors 50+ indicators including interest rates, inflation, yield curves, credit spreads, and central bank balance sheets to assess macro conditions for crypto and traditional markets.
MRS ingests data directly from primary sources trusted by economists and central banks. Inflation series come from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index release, GDP data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, yield-curve spreads from the FRED 10Y-2Y Treasury spread (T10Y2Y), and policy-rate expectations from the Federal Reserve FOMC calendar.
The MRS tracks key macroeconomic indicators that influence financial markets including interest rates, inflation data, yield curve inversions, credit spreads, and central bank policy. It produces a risk score to help traders assess macro conditions.
Crypto markets are increasingly correlated with macro conditions. Tightening monetary policy, rising rates, and credit stress typically create headwinds for crypto, while loosening conditions and expanding liquidity tend to support prices.
MRS monitors Federal Reserve policy, Treasury yields, CPI/inflation data, credit default swaps, dollar index (DXY), money supply metrics, and global central bank balance sheets.
Seven independent recession probability models layered against fifty-plus macro indicators, pulled live from FRED, BLS, BEA, ECB. A single composite read on where the cycle stands.
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